Kemi Badenoch Can Announce All The Tax Cuts She Wants. No One Truly Believes She'll Ever Be Prime Minister

Kemi Badenoch at the Tory conference in Manchester.Kemi Badenoch has just announced that a Tory government led by her would abolish stamp duty.The Tory leader also pledged to overturn Labour’s decision to add VAT to private school fees and scrap the changes to inheritance tax which have angered farmers.She unveiled the eye-catching policies in a better-than-expected speech closing the Conservative conference which should be enough to see off any imminent threats to her leadership.But the main problem for the party’s leader is that no one truly believes that she will ever be in a position to deliver any of those policies.New polling from Ipsos shows that barely one in five voters (22%) expect her to ever become prime minister.Unfortunately for Badenoch, that is not a rogue poll. According to YouGov, just 20% of the public believe she has done well since becoming Tory leader last November, while only 11% believe the Tories are ready for government.The same pollster also found that half of Tory members believe Badenoch should not lead the party into the next election.An almost identical number – 49% – do not believe she will still be in post the next time the country goes to the polls.And even among those who voted for her to be party leader last year, 30% believe Badenoch should be replaced before the next general election. As if to emphasise the desperate state of the Tories’ popularity, a new poll by More in Common this morning gave Reform UK a 13-point lead over Labour, with the Tories a further point behind on just 19%.Gideon Skinner, senior UK director at Ipsos ,said: “Kemi Badenoch clearly needs to do more to establish herself as a credible alternative to the current Labour government.“It’s also the case that Keir Starmer certainly has his own problems in public opinion. “But so far, it is Reform and Nigel Farage who seem to be benefiting from this more than Kemi Badenoch, while the biggest question still facing the Conservatives is how they can rebuild trust with voters who are still very critical of their legacy, so that they will listen to what they have to say in the first place.”Like Starmer following last week’s Labour conference, Badenoch will be mightily relieved that this week has gone well for her – despite the noises off about plots to replace her with Robert Jenrick.However, both leaders still face a date with destiny on May 7 next year, when elections will take place for the Scottish Parliament, the Welsh Senedd and in councils across England.If the opinion polls are even remotely accurate, Labour and the Tories are on course for a disastrous set of results which would in all likelihood seal Starmer and Badenoch’s respective fates.More in Common’s Luke Tryl said: “Conference speeches rarely in of themselves move the dial. And lots of commentators thought Starmer gave a good speech last week and Reform’s lead grew.“But I think in this case it will be a good test of whether anyone is still listening. If there’s no shift at all hard to see how anything other than major event gets them back in the game.”The Tory leader’s policy blitz of the past few days – including a pledge to quit the European Convention on Human Rights – may well by her valuable breathing space.But the chances of her ever being in position to implement them in government are virtually non-existent.Related...Kemi Badenoch Can't Stop Getting Frosty With Broadcasters As Tory Woes Continue'A Grave Political Error': Tories Hit Out At Kemi Badenoch Over Plan To Leave ECHR'Disgusting': Kemi Badenoch Savaged Over Plans For Trump-Style Immigration Raids

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