Nigel Farage On Course To Be Prime Minister As Labour And Tories Collapse, New Mega-Poll Shows

Britain's Reform UK party leader Nigel Farage reacts during the Reform party's annual conference at the National Exhibition Centre in Birmingham, England, Saturday, Sept. 6, 2025.(AP Photo/Thomas Krych)Nigel Farage would “almost certainly” become prime minister on the back of a huge surge in support for Reform UK if a general election was held tomorrow, according to a new mega-poll.The YouGov survey of 13,000 people shows Reform would win 311 seats – up from the five they won at last year’s election.Labour would lose a staggering 267 seats to leave them on just 144, while the Tories would have just 45 MPs, 76 fewer than they got elected in 2024.The number of Lib Dem MPs would increase by six to 78, with the SNP on 37 (up 28), the Greens on 7 (up 3) and Plaid Cymru on 6 (up 2).Such a result would almost certainly result in Farage leading a minority government, meaning he would have to do deals with other parties to get Reform legislation through the Commons.YouGov's September 2025 MRP projects a hung parliament where Reform UK would be almost certain to form a governmentReform UK: 311 (+306 from 2024)Labour: 144 (-267)Lib Dems: 78 (+6)Conservatives: 45 (-76)SNP: 37 (+28)Greens: 7 (+3)Plaid: 6 (+2)Others: 3 (-2) pic.twitter.com/4K1fUBn4ij— YouGov (@YouGov) September 26, 2025In terms of vote share, Reform UK are on 27% of the national vote, with Labour on 21%, the Tories on 17%, the Liberal Democrats on 15% and the Greens on 11%.The seat totals are calculated using the so-called “MRP” method, which compiles constituency-by-constituency data to provide a more accurate forecast.Patrick English, YouGov’s director of political analytics, said the poll showed Reform would be “within touching distance of winning a parliamentary majority”.He said: “Their seat total in a hypothetical election would almost certainly be enough to see them take the reins of government.”Labour would lose a swathe of seats in their traditional heartlands in the north of England, Scotland and Wales.Among the big names on course to lose their seats are Yvette Cooper, Wes Streeting, Ed Miliband and Angela Rayner.English said: “Such a defeat for Labour would be an even greater loss of seats than the Conservatives experienced at the last general election, and a sharp turnaround from a majority victory that was expected by some to carry the party through at least two terms in office.”The Conservatives, meanwhile, would be all-but wiped out at a serious political force in the UK.English said: “We would expect the Conservatives – the current official opposition – to win only 68 seats at the very maximum, with the Liberal Democrats projected to win no fewer than 65 seats and potentially as many as 86.”Related...'You Must Be Joking': Billy Bragg Mocks Nigel Farage's Hopes Of Being PM On BBC Question TimeNigel Farage Blasted For Saying He 'Doesn't Know' If Paracetamol Causes AutismPeople Who Have Lived In The UK For Decades Could Be Deported If Farage Becomes PM

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