cupure logo

Trump Is Dashing MAGA's Biggest Populist Dreams

Trump Is Dashing MAGA's Biggest Populist Dreams
Donald Trump works behind the counter during a campaign event at McDonald's restaurant on October 20, 2024 WASHINGTON — Billionaire Donald Trump styles himself a populist champion of the working class, but that message doesn’t seem to be translating into his economic policy proposals just yet. The president’s allies in the Make America Great Movement have long suggested Trump, who won both his elections with the backing of working-class voters, would transform the Republican Party from the party most closely aligned with big business to one dedicated to helping the little guy. But the “big, beautiful bill” percolating on Capitol Hill — the centerpiece of the president’s economic agenda — shows Trump tossing aside their advice and mostly sticking with the Republican establishment.Republicans are preparing a $5 trillion package of tax cuts, with favourable provisions for the wealthy, likely to be paired with deep cuts to Medicaid and food benefits relied on by vulnerable Americans. MAGA allies have pushed for the package to become more populist, insisting on a need to hike taxes on the wealthy and protect health care programs. But Trump has seemingly shot down both those dreams in recent days. On Wednesday, Trump dismissed the idea of raising taxes on millionaires. “I think it would be very disruptive because a lot of the millionaires would leave the country,” Trump told reporters at the White House. “You lose a lot of money if you do that.”And in an interview with Time Magazine, Trump dismissed the idea that the Republican Party’s budget plans would result in Medicaid cuts. “They’re going to look at waste, fraud, and abuse,” Trump insisted. He added: “Nobody minds that.”As Republican lawmakers have demonstrated for the past few months, all manner of Medicaid cuts — from an across-the-board reduction of federal spending on the program to specific “work requirements” cutting benefits for the unemployed — can be categorised as waste, fraud and abuse. The one area where Trump has dabbled in economic populism so far is his chaotic embrace of widespread tariffs, which he insists will eventually lead to a revitalisation of American manufacturing. So far, however, the tariffs appear more likely to hike prices for millions of American consumers, drain retirement accounts and threaten the lives of countless small businesses, while large corporations like Apple request and receive tariff exemptions.At the heart of the debate is the tension between one of the biggest pillars of longstanding Republican Party orthodoxy — lower taxes — and many of Trump’s populist promises that helped win him the presidency. On the campaign trail last year, Trump vowed to eliminate taxes on tips and Social Security. He also promised to provide free IVF treatments. None of that has happened yet, though his administration hopes to get those proposals into the legislative package Republicans are writing.Trump’s former White House adviser, Steve Bannon, has been saying for months that taxing the rich is good politics for Republicans, since it would undercut “oligarchy” arguments from the likes of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.). He expressed disappointment at the president’s suggestion that higher taxes would cause rich people to turn their backs on America. “Mr. President, they’re not going to leave the country. Call their bluff. If you want to leave over you’re paying your fair share of taxes, then there’s the exit,” Bannon said in response to Trump on Wednesday. Bannon also offered a more practical reason for Republicans to tax the rich: It would help them avoid jacking up federal budget deficits, something they’ve said is downright morally wrong. Even with steep cuts to Medicaid and other programs, the budget Republicans have outlined doesn’t come close to offsetting the multitrillion-dollar deficit impact of the tax cuts they’re considering.“Bottom line, math does not work if you give the tax break of no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on Social Security. The numbers don’t work,” Bannon said. Bannon reckoned some three dozen House Republicans would go along with a tax hike, though the idea has not received public support from hardly anyone except Rep. Andy Harris (R-Md.), chair of the right-wing House Freedom Caucus, who said he would support restoring the 39.6% top marginal rate, which Republicans temporarily lowered to 37% during Trump’s first term.The reality is that, even though Republicans were winking at the idea and leaving the door open, it stood very little chance of becoming reality. House leadership is opposed to it, and so are a number of key Senate Republicans. “We have been working against that idea,” House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said this week. “I’m not in favor of raising the tax rates because our party is the group that stands against that, traditionally.”Trump’s remark on Wednesday did not amount to a definitive statement ruling out any tax increase at all, but it followed some more ambiguous messages that recently wafted out of the White House. Republican senators who met with Trump this month told Semafor, for instance, that the president said he was open to a tax hike on the highest earners. And in a message weirdly given to former House Speaker Newt Gingrich this week, Trump said he would “love the idea of a small increase” but that it would be terrible politics for Republicans. Trump made similar comments in an interview this week with Time Magazine. A White House spokesperson did not respond to requests for clarification of the president’s position this week. Garret Watson, director of policy analysis at the conservative-leaning Tax Foundation, said it’s possible a slightly higher top marginal tax rate will become more appealing to Republicans when they’re crunching numbers on their budget bill, and they would like to add a few hundred billion dollars less to the national debt. “I wouldn’t completely rule it out, especially if you have folks in the Freedom Caucus and elsewhere who are more open to it,”  Watson said in an interview. He suggested Republicans could also look at tightening the corporate write-offs for tax payments to state and local governments, an idea that’s gained currency this year. Democrats have little power to block the tax cut package if Republicans stay united and approve it under the so-called reconciliation process in the Senate. But that hasn’t stopped them from hammering the Republican Party over the expected cuts to Medicaid.“Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress are just fine slashing health care and food assistance for millions of Americans, but they apparently draw the line at asking giant corporations and the wealthiest Americans to pay their fair share,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) told HuffPost. “Republicans’ agenda is simple: Billionaires win, families lose.”Trump has said he wouldn’t touch Medicaid, the health care program for 70 million low-income Americans that right-wing populists have said should remain unscathed. But Speaker Johnson and other Republicans have used “waste, fraud and abuse” to encompass a range of Medicaid policies that aren’t actually waste, fraud or abuse. “We have to eliminate people on, for example, on Medicaid who are not actually eligible to be there — able-bodied workers, for example, young men who are — who should never be on the program at all,” Johnson said last week, signaling cuts to benefits for unemployed adults whose legitimate enrollment would simply be rebranded as waste, fraud or abuse. Republicans have also suggested they’d seek to reduce the share of Medicaid spending covered by the federal government. In that scenario, states would do the direct cutting. Twelve states have laws that would automatically cut their own spending in response to a reduction in the share of costs covered by the federal government, and more states could follow, potentially resulting in as many as 20 million people losing benefits. Republicans in Congress could pretend to have clean hands. Here’s how Rep. Austin Scott (R-Ga.) explained it on Fox News this week: “Nobody would be kicked off Medicaid as long as governors decided they wanted to continue to fund the program.”Related...Trump Promised Lower Food Prices On Day 1 – 99 Days Later, He Has Delivered The OppositeTrump Appointee Is Going After Wikipedia For Allegedly Spreading ‘Propaganda’Donald Trump Says Putin 'Maybe Doesn't Want To Stop The War' Following Talks With Zelenskyy

Comments

Similar News

Breaking news