Final dash: these are the seats Labor and the Coalition will target, with Greens and teals the X-factor

As Labor and the Coalition fight to win over mortgage holders, growing third party popularity and early voting complicate their election campaign strategyPolls tracker; election guide; full federal election coverageAnywhere but Canberra; interactive electorates guideListen to the latest episode of our new narrative podcast series: GinaGet our afternoon election email, free app or daily news podcastWith less than week until election day and early voting already well under way, the focus on the election is narrowing, as are chances of a Peter Dutton prime ministership – if you believe the polls. A campaign that from the start zeroed in on Australia’s mortgage belt will be decided on the streets of outer Melbourne and Sydney, in regional Victoria and New South Wales.Labor and the Coalition are likely to win seats from each other in the mortgage belt, but the X-factor in deciding who wins government will be whether the Greens pinch seats from Labor, and if Climate 200-backed independents grab a few more long-held Coalition seats.Sign up for the Afternoon Update: Election 2025 email newsletter Continue reading...

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