New headache for Rachel Reeves as OBR expected to lower productivity forecast

Weaker growth outlook would set chancellor on course to break her fiscal rules without significant action in budgetThe Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to downgrade its key productivity forecast, the Guardian understands, setting Rachel Reeves on course to break her fiscal rules without significant action in the budget.The government’s independent watchdog has carried out a “stocktake” of its forecast models over the summer, and Treasury officials privately acknowledge the result will inevitably be a weaker growth outlook. Continue reading...

Comments

World news

Colorado teen shooter’s violent online postings had been under investigation for months, say FBI

Independent

Comments

Similar News

Pope tells new US ambassador he is praying for Charlie Kirk and his family

Trump pushes TikTok deadline as new details emerge on a US-China deal over social media giant

New Manitoba schools to be built under jobs agreement, Kinew says

Menendez brothers won't get new trial; judge rejects petition over sexual abuse claims

‘He lied to us’: CBS News staffers say new owner David Ellison ‘just can’t be trusted’

My new build home had 157 defects, including green tap water. It ruined my life

More landlord MPs fear they may breach Labour’s new rent laws

Trump bringing $15 billion lawsuit against New York Times

Donald Trump sues New York Times for $15 billion in defamation lawsuit

Trump files $15B lawsuit against The New York Times

Panic Grips Gaza City as Israel Launches New Ground Operation

Food insecurity in Canada got worse this year, new report says

Australia gifts Papua New Guinea a Parliament House extension for its 50th independence anniversary

Taiwan's new civil defense handbook aims to boost public readiness as China tensions persist

New York reveals rules in bid to stop children becoming addicted to social media

Fears ‘draconian’ new rules will cut pension credit take-up from poorer retirees

To fight the narcos, Mexico tries a new approach: A song contest

New Research Helps Explain Gas Craters in Siberia

Donald Trump says he will sue New York Times for $15bn

Trump says he will sue the New York Times for $15bn

World news

Colorado teen shooter’s violent online postings had been under investigation for months, say FBI

Belarus sentences journalist to 4 years in prison, days after release of over 50 political prisoners

Charlie Kirk tells young daughter how he met Erika in video released after his death

Two boys who caused $50,000 worth of damage to an elementary school library turned in by their moms, police say

‘I had enough of his hatred’: Charlie Kirk suspect’s texts with roommate shed light on motive

Scientists say they’ve discovered the oldest mummies ever found

Charlie Kirk shooting suspect Tyler Robinson charged with aggravated murder

BCGEU strike escalates, adding mining sector, overtime ban for correctional officers

Man facing extradition after family of migrants froze to death at Canada-US border

Five Things: Blue Jays closing in on East title

New Manitoba schools to be built under jobs agreement, Kinew says

Tyler Robinson charged with murder of Charlie Kirk as prosecutors seek death penalty

Starmer to press Trump on Israel – as UN warns of Gaza ‘genocide’

Genocide in Gaza is now official – but that won’t stop Israel’s atrocities

‘It’s all f**ked’: Starmer’s MP mutiny deepens as Trump flies in

Why Hasn’t Joseph Kony Been Caught?

Scoop: House Democrats rage at their "hypocritical" leaders over Mamdani foot-dragging

How most people are using ChatGPT

Nigerian chef breaks world record for cooking the largest jollof rice dish

Chrystia Freeland exits Cabinet of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney

Deal is done to keep TikTok in the US, says Trump

Coup plot charges for former Romanian presidential candidate

Chinese-linked mining firms sued over 'ecological catastrophe' in Zambia

Fears balloon of a return to civil war in South Sudan over treason trial

Man Known as the ‘Tinder Swindler’ Is Arrested in Georgia

Europe’s Extreme Summer Weather Could Cost It Billions

Why Many Israelis Oppose Netanyahu’s Offensive Into Gaza City

Canadian facing charges in the U.S. after half ton of meth found in border stop

Oilpatch execs give Carney 'incomplete' grade on first six months as prime minister

Police rule out foul play after student found dead in the middle of Delta State University campus

Epstein estate turns over more docs to Congress including unredacted version of infamous ‘birthday book’

‘He lied to us’: CBS News staffers say new owner David Ellison ‘just can’t be trusted’

Royal Caribbean cruise ship returns to Miami after onboard fight leaves two passengers hospitalized

Greece considers movement ban after smallpox outbreak on farm

Stephen Miller’s high school classmate says his Hispanic heritage ended their friendship: ‘He didn’t like that fact’

MTG doubles down on ‘divorce’ from Democrats comments: ‘We couldn’t be further apart from the left’

Amazon Prime Big Deal Days 2025 are back – Shop the best discounts

Israel committing ‘genocide’ in Gaza, UN commission of inquiry says

Storm researchers examine conditions in southeastern Manitoba after heavy rain

Chrystia Freeland steps down from cabinet, won’t run in next election

JD Vance vows to crack down on ‘violence’ from ‘left-wing extremism’

My new build home had 157 defects, including green tap water. It ruined my life

Recycled Tories are damaging Reform’s claim to be ‘different’

Trump won’t drop support for Israel despite UN’s ruling of genocide

The big question which could drive a wedge between Trump and Starmer

How Bournemouth sold £200m worth of players – and got better

The biggest hint yet that record-breaker Bethell will be in Ashes squad

Why Andy Burnham’s winning formula might not work outside of the North

All the Tory defections to Reform – and who could be next

A Big Bold Beautiful Journey is vacuous nonsense

A Democratic senator on the fights his party has to pick

Crisis-era level job anxiety and inflation couldn't deter consumers

Luigi Mangione terrorism charges dropped

If you bought bread this century, you could get some 'bread' from class-action lawsuit

Ghana insists immigrants deported by the US have been sent home, contradicting lawyers

Oscar winner Robert Redford, who became a champion of independent film, dies at 89

Get more from The Independent: How to add The Independent to Google’s preferred sources