Nigel Farage Heading For Downing Street In Reform UK Surge, Mega-Poll Suggests

Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK party speaks at an event in London, Tuesday, May 27, 2025.Nigel Farage is heading for Downing Street after the next election, according to a new mega-poll.The YouGov survey of 11,500 people showed that Reform UK would be comfortably the largest party with 271 seats – up from the five they currently have – if the country went to the polls tomorrow.However, that would still leave them well short of the 326 seats needed for an overall Commons majority.Labour would be on 178 seats – down from 403 – with the Lib Dems on 81 and the Tories on just 46.The SNP would once again become the largest party in Scotland with 38 seats, while the Greens and Plaid Cymru would both have seven MPs.Among the Labour big-hitters who would lose their seats are cabinet ministers Angela Rayner, Yvette Cooper, Bridget Phillipson, Jonathan Reynolds, Lisa Nandy, John Healy and Pat McFadden.The result would most likely leave Farage leading a minority government and trying to strike informal alliances in order to win big votes like on the Budget.The poll was carried out using the so-called “MRP” method, which does a seat-by-seat analysis of voting intentions and is seen as the most accurate type of polling.YouGov said: “According to the central projection, no realistic two-party government or coalition would reach the 326 seats required for a mathematical House of Commons majority.“Combining the Reform and Conservative total figures leaves us at a total of 317 – the same number of seats which the Conservatives alone won under Theresa May back in 2017. “Back then, the Conservatives relied on a confidence and supply arrangement with the Democratic Unionist Party in order to govern. In our central projection, a Reform-Conservative coalition would need to do something similar.”A Reform UK spokesman said: “It’s just under one year since the general election and we are already predicted to be the largest party if the election was held tomorrow.“The next election will be a choice between five more years of Starmer’s chaos and tax rises or a fresh start with Reform. The British public are clear that Britain is broken and that it needs Reform.”Related...Voters Urged To Avoid A 'Second Helping Of Farage' Nine Years After Brexit VoteTax Expert Says Nigel Farage's Latest Policy Would Leave A £34 Billion Black Hole In The Nation's BooksNigel Farage Accused Of 'Billionaires' Giveaway' Over New Tax Policy

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