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Mark Smith: Don’t blame the English – the splinter factor is Scottish too

Mark Smith: Don’t blame the English – the splinter factor is Scottish too

There’s a graph you may have seen that predicts what the next Westminster parliament would look like if the swing at Runcorn was repeated nationwide. Labour: 138. Lib Dem: 17. Tories: 6 (6!) And Reform: 419. Of course, swings at by-elections are never very reliable indications of the future, but it's an unsettling vision nonetheless. And it makes you think: what of Scotland?

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