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Cuomo holds sizable lead over Mamdani in new NYC mayor poll

Data: Marist Poll. Table: Jacque Schrag/AxiosAndrew Cuomo holds a smaller-than-last month but still sizable lead over Zohran Mamdani — the surging democratic socialist from Queens — in an anticipated NYC Democratic mayoral primary poll from Marist out this morning.Why it matters: Mamdani's charisma and populist platform — including freezing rent, no-fare buses and a $30 minimum wage by 2030 — have made him Cuomo's strongest challenger in the race to take on the "second toughest job in America."The poll shows Cuomo is the first-choice candidate of 38% of likely Democratic voters for next Tuesday's primary.Mamdani, a 33-year-old state assemblyman, is in second with 27% — up from 18% in Marist's poll last month.In ranked-choice voting — how NYC primaries are conducted — Marist estimates that Cuomo would beat Mamdani in the seventh round (charted above).Zoom out: Mamdani's momentum has made him a rising star in Democratic politics.He was endorsed yesterday by Sen. Bernie Sanders and already has the backing of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who cast Cuomo, 67, as a member of the nation's political "gerontocracy."The former governor's political baggage — including sexual harassment accusations that forced his resignation and questions about his handling of the pandemic — gives his rivals massive targets in the final days of the campaign.What's next: Both candidates could attempt to run again in the general election, even if they lose the primary — Cuomo as an independent and Mamdani on the Working Families Party ticket. Mayor Eric Adams withdrew from the primary in April to run as an independent. They would also face Republican Curtis Sliwa.

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