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Why investors are avoiding U.S. renewable energy projects

Why investors are avoiding U.S. renewable energy projects
Adapted from a BloombergNEF report; Chart: Axios VisualsGlobal investment in renewable energy projects hit a fresh record this year, but fell in the U.S., an analysis released Tuesday shows. Why it matters: Trump 2.0's reversal of federal support is starting to show up in hard financing data. Driving the news: The first half of 2025 saw the "reallocation" of investment dollars away from the U.S. begin, the research firm BloombergNEF found.U.S. spending fell by $20.5 billion, or 36%, from the second half of 2024 in what the firm calls a response to the U.S. presidential election.It was the steepest drop of any country."There was a rush to construct toward the end of last year as developers sought to lock in access to tax credits, and then a sharp drop in the first half of this year due to worsening policy conditions, particularly for wind, and growing tariff uncertainty," the report states.The intrigue: The European Union saw a big jump, which "supports the idea that developers and investors may be reallocating capital out of the U.S. and into Europe." Stunning stat: The U.S., in the first half of 2025, wasn't among the world's top-five wind markets for the the first time since 2016. The big picture: Worldwide investment was $386 billion in the first half of 2025, a tally that's largely wind and solar, but also includes biofuels, geothermal and more. The solar picture is split, with spending on small-scale projects up "reflecting cheap modules and the ease of siting" these assets.But financing for big, or utility-scale, projects fell sharply "amid concerns over revenue-risk.""[M]any of the markets that saw the largest year-on-year declines in investment — including mainland China, Spain, Greece, and Brazil — have seen rising curtailment, greater exposure to negative power prices, or both."What we're watching: How recent events sway U.S. investment trends. The Interior Department has unveiled fresh constraints on wind and solar projects, while the Commerce Department could impose new tariffs on wind blades and components.And just last week, Interior demanded that Ørsted halt construction on a big, nearly complete wind project off Rhode Island.

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