Nigel Farage On Course For Commons Majority According To Latest Polls

Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK party speaks at an event in London, Tuesday, May 27, 2025. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)Nigel Farage is heading for Downing Street with a comfortable Commons majority, according to the latest opinion polls.A calculation based on the most recent surveys of public opinion suggests Reform UK would end up with 362 seats if a general election was held tomorrow.Labour would have 136 MPs elected, followed by the Lib Dems with 62 and the SNP with 38, the Electoral Calculus assessment suggested.In yet more bad news for Kemi Badenoch, the Conservatives would be the fifth-largest party with just 22 seats.The result would hand Farage a 74-seat majority, big enough for Reform UK to be able to govern without the need to rely on the support of other parties.Electoral Calculus bases its forecast on the latest opinion polls, which have consistently given Reform UK a comfortable lead over Labour.They said the right-wing party has seen “a positive bounce in the polls” since gaining 677 seats at the local elections a month ago.“If there were a general election tomorrow (and there will not be), then Reform could expect to have an outright majority in the House of Commons and Nigel Farage would be prime minister,” Electoral Calculus said.“This is the first time that the polls have indicated that Reform could form a government on its own. The Conservatives would be the fifth largest party at Westminster behind the Liberal Democrats and the SNP.”The current Electoral Calculus forecast.Keir Starmer last week accused Reform of “poisoning our politics” and compared Farage to Liz Truss after he pledged to bring back winter fuel payments for all pensioners, lift the two-child benefit cap and cut taxes.Downing Street insiders now believe that Reform UK will be Labour’s main rivals at the next election, amid mounting speculation that Kemi Badenoch’s time as Tory leader is already running out.Related...'Dodgy Maths': Farage Slammed After True Cost Of 'DEI' Government Programmes RevealedKeir Starmer Says Nigel Farage Is Trying To 'Poison Our Politics'Keir Starmer Warns Nigel Farage's 'Mad Experiment' Would Ruin Economy Like Liz Truss

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